Aerial Modal Prepares for Resumption in 2022

There is no doubt about how much the entire airline industry and international logistics segments have been affected by the Covid-19 crisis. For experts in the field, 2020 was considered the “worst year in aviation”, representing a 66% drop in RPKs (kilometers traveled by paying passengers). For Dandara Rú, Air Product Specialist at DMS Logistics, if 2021 marked a modest and slow recovery in air traffic, largely due to the numerous Government restrictions on the movement and entry of people into their territories, 2022 should really be the year of resumption.

“The confidence of consumers and passengers is returning and fostering the recovery of flights, first domestic followed by international, thanks to the advance of vaccination. Data from the IATA report predicts a 51% improvement in Paying Passengers Per Kilometer (RPK) numbers for 2022 and could reach up to 61% compared to pre-crisis levels,” he reveals.

For IATA, the increasing opening of markets in 2022 tends to mark the strengthening of world trade along with the increase in the volume of cargo. And within this scenario, airlines will play a key role. Dandara recalls: “For players that depend directly on international air traffic such as importers, exporters and freight forwarders, the outlook is positive. Cargo volumes are above pre-crisis levels and are expected to increase.”

Another important point, according to the expert, is the fact that air transport is fundamental for international trade, especially for key industries such as manufacturing and production inputs: “this importance is evident by the value it generated in 2021, reaching to 7.5 trillion dollars. Specialists estimate that this year there will be an increase of up to 7.2%”, emphasizes Dandara.

Regarding the frequency and capacity of the main global airlines, she recalls that the total number has not yet reached the satisfactory level of previous years: “we are still with lower values than in 2019, for example, but this trend is already on an upward curve , that is, the future is promising.

“Overall”, she explains, “there is an optimistic outlook on the recovery and development of the airline industry and its segments, although the emergence of new variants of the Covid-19 virus, such as Ômicron, could put a brake on the expected progress”.

The result that the variant can generate impacts the investments of the players and even the workforce of the companies. Recent figures show that airlines in the United States, Europe and even Brazil have temporarily reduced the offer and frequency of flights due to lack of staff. There are still no total numbers that represent the consequences of Ômicron in the market, but it is possible to feel a setback.

But Dandara recalls that the effects of Covid-19, including its variants, will be felt for a long time in the industry, with data oscillating between improvements and retractions, which should not fundamentally affect expected growth. “2022 can be marked mainly by updates in the way of doing business. Active players and people's natural desire to move, based on the advancement of healthcare, will positively influence the air modal”, she concludes.

About DMS

With freight forwarding technology and a team specialized in finding tailored solutions, DMS conducts complex operations, full of particularities. It's been 33 years of success and a lot of responsibility with the most varied segments: Healthcare, Telecom, Aerospace, Agro, and many others. Among the services are: Air, Sea, Road Transport, Customs Clearance and International Insurance.

*NOTE:

This publication was written in Portuguese (Brazil) and automatically translated by Google robots to English. MORE THAN FLY, adopted Google technology for everyone around the world to have access to information and optimize our time and budget with translations. We ask for common sense to take into account translation errors. After all, every robot is limited and is never compared to the superiority of a human intelligence.